Sunday Night Football features a New York Giants team that just lost its top four receivers to injury against a Denver defense coming off a bye that allows the fewest yards per game in the NFL.
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The Broncos are favored by 12.5 points, up 3.5 from an open of nine. The Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 38, down three from an open of 41.
Before you make any bets on Giants-Broncos, you’ll want to hear what Mike “Top Dog” Tierney has to say.
Last week on Sunday Night Football, Tierney told SportsLine readers to go Over 47, knowing Houston’s offense would continue to light up the scoreboard against Kansas City. The result: Chiefs 42, Texans 34, the easiest Over ever.
Amazingly, it also improved Tierney’s Over-Under record to 10-3 this season after he went a blistering 22-9 last year. He has a gift for picking NFL totals, and anyone who has followed his picks is up big.
Tierney has evaluated Sunday Night Football this week from every conceivable angle and locked in his pick. And he’s sharing it over at SportsLine.
Tierney knows the Giants’ offense is without its top playmakers. All-world WR Odell Beckham (ankle) is done for the year. So are Brandon Marshall (ankle) and Dwayne Harris (foot). And Sterling Shepard (ankle) is out for Week 6.
Meanwhile, Denver’s defense remains elite. They’re No. 7 in points allowed (18.5) and No. 1 against the run (50.8 yards per game).
But that doesn’t mean Sunday Night Football goes Under, especially with a low total of 38. Giants RB Orleans Darkwa came to life with an 8-69-1 stat line against the Chargers. And Roger Lewis, the team’s de-facto No. 1 wideout, scored a TD.
And this is the same Broncos team that popped 41 points on the Dallas Cowboys in Week 2. QB Trevor Siemian has thrown multiple touchdowns and/or topped 250 yards in all but one game this season. Broncos rookie TE A.J. Derby is fresh off a career 4-75-1 day and RB C.J. Anderson is tenth in the NFL in yards (330) and second in touchdowns (four).
Eli Manning is in the top 10 in passing touchdowns (eight). He’s No. 1 in completions (137) and still has pass-catching RB Shane Vereen, rookie TE Evan Engram, and RB Wayne Gallman at his disposal. Engram had 11 targets and a 6-62 stat line two weeks ago, and the Giants have scored at least 22 points the last three weeks.
Tierney is leaning on the Broncos to cover, but what about the Over-Under, which he has made his name picking?
He knows there’s a huge x-factor that ultimately determines whether Giants-Broncos on Sunday Night Football goes Over or Under. And he’s sharing it over at SportsLine.